Well considering they already walked back all of it except a 1/4in of potential rain on Sunday, yeah I'd say you're right heheh.

Usually I feel ok planning around the forecast 6-7 days out, but that's a pretty huge change in the forecast within 12 hours. Haven't seem them go that wild before.

Anyone else planning to be on the island week of the 25th? 2-3 inches of rain forecast Sat-Mon! I'm going to wait till Tuesday and if the forecast holds probably hit the eject button on this trip and head to Kentucky or Missouri. Don't mind a bit of rain, but...

Good lecture. Just the sort of thing I'd bring a crabby toddler to :p

Thanks for sharing!

Good info, thanks again.

I'd be backpacking, but no radio. Trying to be reasonably prepared for all weather, but if the nws forecast is reliable for a 5 day trip that could help narrow down the scope of 'all weather'

Thanks!

Hi. Been lurking a while, gathering info for my solo trip end of September. Lot of good posts here.

I was wondering what the experience has been with weather forecast accuracy on the island? Is the forecast I read Sunday morning pretty reliable out to mid week, or is it a complete dice toss after a ...